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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Match ·

Sonderjyske vs Nordsjälland

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger54%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger54% selection probability
Projected score1–1SonderjyskeNordsjälland
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 24% / 54%MatchresultatBortaseger54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sonderjyske win (22.4%)DubbelchansX277.6%1.29
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.47 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapNordsjälland winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sonderjyske win22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort24%4.174.0023.6%+0.4 pp
Nordsjälland win54%1.851.7354.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sonderjyske1.12

Hemma share of expected goals 45.3%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Nordsjälland1.35

Borta share of expected goals 54.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sonderjyske

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Nordsjälland

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
54%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.12
Expected goals
1.35
SonderjyskeNordsjälland
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sonderjyske signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nordsjälland signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sonderjyske vs Nordsjälland FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sonderjyske vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 24%,Nordsjälland vunnen 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under