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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Match ·

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger34%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
34% / 31% / 35%MatchresultatBortaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.7%)Dubbelchans1269.3%1.44
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
San Lorenzo win34%2.94
Oavgjort31%3.23
Union Santa Fe win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Lorenzo1.11

Hemma share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Union Santa Fe1.13

Borta share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
1.13
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Lorenzo signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Santa Fe signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Lorenzo vunnen 34%,Oavgjort 31%,Union Santa Fe vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under