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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Match ·

Estudiantes LP vs Gimnasia LP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estudiantes LPGimnasia LP
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 32% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia LP win (25.9%)Dubbelchans1X74.1%1.35
Över 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Ja 36% · Nej 64%Båda lagen gör målNej64%1.56
1.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Estudiantes LP win42%2.38
Oavgjort32%3.13
Gimnasia LP win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estudiantes LP1.17

Hemma share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 30% · Under 70%

Gimnasia LP0.73

Borta share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nej 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Estudiantes LP

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.17
Expected goals
0.73
Estudiantes LPGimnasia LP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estudiantes LP signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Estudiantes LP vs Gimnasia LP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estudiantes LP vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 32%,Gimnasia LP vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Över 2.5 30% · Current selection Under