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SWE Sverige - Ettan Södra · Match ·

Jönköpings Södra vs BK Olympic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.00 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jönköpings SödraBK Olympic
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 27% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dubbelchans1273%1.37
Över 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Över58%1.72
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
3.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Jönköpings Södra win45%2.22
Oavgjort27%3.70
BK Olympic win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jönköpings Södra1.78

Hemma share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 58% · Under 42%

BK Olympic1.22

Borta share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Jönköpings Södra

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

BK Olympic

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.78
Expected goals
1.22
Jönköpings SödraBK Olympic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jönköpings Södra signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Olympic signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Jönköpings Södra vs BK Olympic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jönköpings Södra vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 27%,BK Olympic vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Över 2.5 58% · Current selection Över