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KOR Sydkorea - K-League 2 · Round 17 ·

Seongnam FC vs Cheonan City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Seongnam FCCheonan City
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 30% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cheonan City win (24.3%)Dubbelchans1X75.7%1.32
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Båda lagen gör målNej58%1.72
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Seongnam FC win46%2.17
Oavgjort30%3.33
Cheonan City win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Seongnam FC1.44

Hemma share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Cheonan City0.80

Borta share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Seongnam FC

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cheonan City

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.44
Expected goals
0.80
Seongnam FCCheonan City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Seongnam FC signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cheonan City signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Seongnam FC vs Cheonan City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Seongnam FC vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 30%,Cheonan City vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under