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KOR Corea del Sud - K-League 2 · Round 17 ·

Seongnam FC vs Cheonan City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa46%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Seongnam FCCheonan City
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 30% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cheonan City win (24.3%)Doppia Chance1X75.7%1.32
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 42% · No 58%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58%1.72
2.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Seongnam FC win46%2.17
Pareggio30%3.33
Cheonan City win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Seongnam FC1.44

Casa share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Cheonan City0.80

Trasferta share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Seongnam FC

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cheonan City

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.44
Expected goals
0.80
Seongnam FCCheonan City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Seongnam FC signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cheonan City signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Seongnam FC vs Cheonan City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Seongnam FC vinta 46%,Pareggio 30%,Cheonan City vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto