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INT Peru Liga 1 · Match ·

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Comerciantes UnidosCusco FC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 29% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Dubbelchans1270.9%1.41
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapCusco FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Comerciantes Unidos win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Cusco FC win33%3.032.8832.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Comerciantes Unidos1.38

Hemma share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Cusco FC1.19

Borta share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Comerciantes Unidos

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cusco FC

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.38
Expected goals
1.19
Comerciantes UnidosCusco FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Comerciantes Unidos signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cusco FC signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Comerciantes Unidos vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 29%,Cusco FC vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under