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MEX Mexico Liga MX · Match ·

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger30%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score2–1TijuanaCruz Azul
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 25% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbelchans1274.9%1.34
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Tijuana win45%2.22
Oavgjort25%4.00
Cruz Azul win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tijuana1.55

Hemma share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Cruz Azul1.22

Borta share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Tijuana

2.00pts / match
Spelade4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/4

Borta-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.55
Expected goals
1.22
TijuanaCruz Azul
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tijuana signalHemma unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruz Azul signalHemma clean sheets: 3/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tijuana vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 25%,Cruz Azul vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över