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DNK Denmark Division 1 · Match ·

Ålborg vs Kolding IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ÅlborgKolding IF
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 30% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Dubbelchans1269.9%1.43
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Ålborg win39%2.56
Oavgjort30%3.33
Kolding IF win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ålborg1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Kolding IF1.07

Borta share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ålborg

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kolding IF

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.30
Expected goals
1.07
ÅlborgKolding IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ålborg signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kolding IF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ålborg vs Kolding IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ålborg vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 30%,Kolding IF vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under