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DNK Denmark Division 1 · Spiel ·

AaB vs Kolding IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1AaBKolding IF
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 30% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Doppelte Chance1269.9%1.43
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
AaB win39%2.56
Unentschieden30%3.33
Kolding IF win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AaB1.30

Heim share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

Kolding IF1.07

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AaB

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Kolding IF

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.30
Expected goals
1.07
AaBKolding IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AaB signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kolding IF signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

AaB vs Kolding IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AaB Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 30%,Kolding IF Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter