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ROU Rumänien - Liga 1 · Match ·

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger34%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Petrolul PloiestiOtelul Galati
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
34% / 30% / 36%MatchresultatBortaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30%)Dubbelchans1270%1.43
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapOtelul Galati winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Petrolul Ploiesti win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Otelul Galati win36%2.782.5535.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Petrolul Ploiesti1.03

Hemma share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Otelul Galati1.22

Borta share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Petrolul Ploiesti

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Otelul Galati

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.03
Expected goals
1.22
Petrolul PloiestiOtelul Galati
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Petrolul Ploiesti signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Otelul Galati signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Petrolul Ploiesti vunnen 34%,Oavgjort 30%,Otelul Galati vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under