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ENG England - Ligacupen · Match ·

Stoke vs Oldham

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger37%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger37%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger37% selection probability
Projected score1–1StokeOldham
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
37% / 26% / 37%MatchresultatHemmaseger37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbelchans1274.1%1.35
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Över50%2.00
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Stoke win37%2.70
Oavgjort26%3.85
Oldham win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stoke1.35

Hemma share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Oldham1.34

Borta share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Stoke

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalNej recent signal

Borta-context · form sequence

Oldham

0.00pts / match
Spelade0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.35
Expected goals
1.34
StokeOldham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stoke signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Oldham signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Stoke vs Oldham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stoke vunnen 37%,Oavgjort 26%,Oldham vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Över