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BRA Brasilien - Paulista Cup · Match ·

Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger29%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 28% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Dubbelchans1271.9%1.39
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Noroeste win43%2.332.1042.9%
Oavgjort28%3.573.2028.1%
XV Piracicaba win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Noroeste1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

XV Piracicaba1.00

Borta share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Noroeste

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

XV Piracicaba

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
1.00
NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Noroeste signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV Piracicaba signalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Noroeste vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 28%,XV Piracicaba vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under