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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Marino de Luanco vs Ponferradina

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.21 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger24%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger48%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger48% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marino de LuancoPonferradina
Expected goals3.21Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
24% / 27% / 48%MatchresultatBortaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marino de Luanco win (24.4%)DubbelchansX275.6%1.32
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Båda lagen gör målJa66%1.52
3.21 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marino de Luanco win24%4.174.0022.5%
Oavgjort27%3.703.2527.6%
Ponferradina win48%2.081.8049.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marino de Luanco1.43

Hemma share of expected goals 44.5%

Total expected goals3.21Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

Ponferradina1.78

Borta share of expected goals 55.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Marino de Luanco

1.00pts / match
Spelade4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Poäng4

SignalBorta failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Ponferradina

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.43
Expected goals
1.78
Marino de LuancoPonferradina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marino de Luanco signalBorta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ponferradina signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Marino de Luanco vs Ponferradina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marino de Luanco vunnen 24%,Oavgjort 27%,Ponferradina vunnen 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över