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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Marino de Luanco vs Ponferradina

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.21 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst24%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst48%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst48% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marino de LuancoPonferradina
Expected goals3.21Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
24% / 27% / 48%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marino de Luanco win (24.4%)Dubbele KansX275.6%1.32
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.21 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marino de Luanco win24%4.174.0022.5%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.2527.6%
Ponferradina win48%2.081.8049.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marino de Luanco1.43

Thuis share of expected goals 44.5%

Total expected goals3.21Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Ponferradina1.78

Uit share of expected goals 55.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Marino de Luanco

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Punten4

SignalUit failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Ponferradina

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.43
Expected goals
1.78
Marino de LuancoPonferradina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marino de Luanco signalUit failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ponferradina signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Marino de Luanco vs Ponferradina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marino de Luanco gewonnen 24%,Gelijkspel 27%,Ponferradina gewonnen 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven