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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.88 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Radomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 28% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbelchans1272.3%1.38
Över 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Över55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Båda lagen gör målJa58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapGornik Zabrze winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Radomiak Radom win33%3.032.8032.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
Gornik Zabrze win39%2.562.3539.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Radomiak Radom1.36

Hemma share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 55% · Under 45%

Gornik Zabrze1.52

Borta share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Radomiak Radom

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gornik Zabrze

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
1.52
Radomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Radomiak Radom signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gornik Zabrze signalHemma won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Radomiak Radom vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 28%,Gornik Zabrze vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Över 2.5 55% · Current selection Över