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ENG England - National League · Round 1 ·

Eastleigh vs Gateshead

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score2–1EastleighGateshead
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 27% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dubbelchans1273%1.37
Över 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Över59%1.69
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Eastleigh win43%2.33
Oavgjort27%3.70
Gateshead win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eastleigh1.75

Hemma share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 59% · Under 41%

Gateshead1.29

Borta share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Eastleigh

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gateshead

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.75
Expected goals
1.29
EastleighGateshead
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eastleigh signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gateshead signalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Eastleigh vs Gateshead FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eastleigh vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 27%,Gateshead vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Över 2.5 59% · Current selection Över