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ARG Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–2Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger58%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger14%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
58% / 28% / 14%MatchresultatHemmaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Unidos win (14.5%)Dubbelchans1X85.5%1.17
Över 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 35% · Nej 65%Båda lagen gör målNej65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano win58%1.721.5557.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Defensores Unidos win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano1.38

Hemma share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 32% · Under 68%

Defensores Unidos0.62

Borta share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nej 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Defensores Unidos

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
14%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores Unidos signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano vunnen 58%,Oavgjort 28%,Defensores Unidos vunnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Över 2.5 32% · Current selection Under