Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 28% / 14%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Unidos win (14.5%)Dubbele Kans1X85.5%1.17
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 35% · Nee 65%Beide teams scorenNee65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano win58%1.721.5557.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Defensores Unidos win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 69%
Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%
Uit share of expected goals 31%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nee 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSportivo Italiano
LWWLD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchDefensores Unidos
WLLLD
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
14%7
Points from supplied form
41.38
Expected goals
0.62Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Italiano gewonnen 58%，Gelijkspel 28%，Defensores Unidos gewonnen 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.00 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder。