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Hammarby vs BK Häcken

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger62%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger17%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger62% selection probability
Projected score2–1HammarbyBK Häcken
Expected goals3.41Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
62% / 21% / 17%MatchresultatHemmaseger62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BK Häcken win (16.9%)Dubbelchans1X83.1%1.20
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.41 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapHammarby winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hammarby win62%1.611.5361.3%+0.7 pp
Oavgjort21%4.764.3321.7%-0.7 pp
BK Häcken win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby2.34

Hemma share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals3.41Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

BK Häcken1.07

Borta share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Hammarby

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

BK Häcken

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.34
Expected goals
1.07
HammarbyBK Häcken
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Häcken signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hammarby vs BK Häcken FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby vunnen 62%,Oavgjort 21%,BK Häcken vunnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över