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SWE Sverige - Ettan Norra · Final ·

Assyriska Föreningen vs Gefle IF

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Assyriska FöreningenGefle IF
Expected goals3.35Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 26% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbelchans1273.9%1.35
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.35 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Assyriska Föreningen win46%2.17
Oavgjort26%3.85
Gefle IF win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Assyriska Föreningen2.00

Hemma share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals3.35Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

Gefle IF1.35

Borta share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Assyriska Föreningen

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gefle IF

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.00
Expected goals
1.35
Assyriska FöreningenGefle IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Assyriska Föreningen signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gefle IF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Assyriska Föreningen vs Gefle IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Assyriska Föreningen vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 26%,Gefle IF vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över