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SWE Sverige - 1. div. Norra · Final ·

Assyriska Föreningen vs Gefle IF

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr46%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr28%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Assyriska FöreningenGefle IF
Expected goals3.35Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
46% / 26% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dobbeltchance1273.9%1.35
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Begge hold scorerJa65%1.54
3.35 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Assyriska Föreningen win46%2.17
Uafgjort26%3.85
Gefle IF win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Assyriska Föreningen2.00

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals3.35Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Gefle IF1.35

Ude share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Assyriska Föreningen

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Gefle IF

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.00
Expected goals
1.35
Assyriska FöreningenGefle IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Assyriska Föreningen signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gefle IF signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Assyriska Föreningen vs Gefle IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Assyriska Föreningen vundet 46%,Uafgjort 26%,Gefle IF vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over