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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Argentino Merlo vs CA Ituzaingo

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–1Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Argentino MerloCA Ituzaingo
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 27% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Ituzaingo win (17.6%)Dubbelchans1X82.4%1.21
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Argentino Merlo win56%1.79
Oavgjort27%3.70
CA Ituzaingo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Merlo1.87

Hemma share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

CA Ituzaingo0.66

Borta share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

CA Ituzaingo

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
Argentino MerloCA Ituzaingo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Merlo signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Ituzaingo signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Argentino Merlo vs CA Ituzaingo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Merlo vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 27%,CA Ituzaingo vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under