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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Argentino Merlo vs CA Ituzaingó

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante18%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Argentino MerloCA Ituzaingó
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 27% / 18%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Ituzaingó win (17.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.4%1.21
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Argentino Merlo win56%1.79
Empate27%3.70
CA Ituzaingó win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Merlo1.87

Local share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

CA Ituzaingó0.66

Visitante share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Ituzaingó

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
Argentino MerloCA Ituzaingó
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Merlo signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Ituzaingó signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Argentino Merlo vs CA Ituzaingó FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Merlo ganada 56%,Empate 27%,CA Ituzaingó ganada 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de