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ENG England - National League · Round 1 ·

Boston Utd vs Aldershot

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boston UtdAldershot
Expected goals3.31Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 25% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbelchans1274.9%1.34
Över 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Över64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boston Utd win48%2.081.9047.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp
Aldershot win27%3.703.4026.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston Utd1.98

Hemma share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.31Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 64% · Under 36%

Aldershot1.33

Borta share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Boston Utd

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.33
Boston UtdAldershot
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston Utd signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aldershot signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Boston Utd vs Aldershot FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston Utd vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 25%,Aldershot vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Över 2.5 64% · Current selection Över