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ENG Anglia - National League · Round 1 ·

Boston Utd vs Aldershot

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde48%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți27%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boston UtdAldershot
Expected goals3.31Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
48% / 25% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Șansă dublă1274.9%1.34
Peste 64% · Sub 36%Goals 2.5Peste64%1.56
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boston Utd win48%2.081.9047.9%+0.1 pp
Egal25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp
Aldershot win27%3.703.4026.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston Utd1.98

Gazde share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.31Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 64% · Sub 36%

Aldershot1.33

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Boston Utd

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.33
Boston UtdAldershot
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston Utd signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aldershot signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Boston Utd vs Aldershot FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston Utd câștig 48%,Egal 25%,Aldershot câștig 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Peste 2.5 64% · Current selection Peste