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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

Beira Mar vs AD Machico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich51%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Beira MarAD Machico
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej74% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
51% / 28% / 21%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Machico win (20.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X79.1%1.26
Viac 26% · Menej 74%Goals 2.5Menej74%1.35
Áno 34% · Nie 66%Oba tímy skórujúNie66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapBeira Mar winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beira Mar win51%1.961.7551.3%-0.3 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
AD Machico win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beira Mar1.08

Domáci share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 26% · Menej 74%

AD Machico0.70

Hostia share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 34% · Nie 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Beira Mar

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

AD Machico

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.08
Expected goals
0.70
Beira MarAD Machico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beira Mar signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Machico signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Beira Mar vs AD Machico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beira Mar výhra 51%,Remíza 28%,AD Machico výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Viac 2.5 26% · Current selection Menej