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PRT Португалия - Кампеонато Насионал · Мач ·

Бейра Мар vs AD Machico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен30%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Бейра МарAD Machico
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под74% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 30% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Machico win (24.3%)Двоен шанс1X75.7%1.32
Над 26% · Под 74%Goals 2.5Под74%1.35
Да 34% · Не 66%И двата отбора да отбележатНе66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бейра Мар win46%2.171.9546.4%-0.4 pp
Равен30%3.333.1029.2%+0.8 pp
AD Machico win24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бейра Мар1.08

Домакин share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 26% · Под 74%

AD Machico0.70

Гост share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Не 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бейра Мар

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

AD Machico

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.08
Expected goals
0.70
Бейра МарAD Machico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бейра Мар signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Machico signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Бейра Мар vs AD Machico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бейра Мар печеливш 46%,Равен 30%,AD Machico печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Над 2.5 26% · Current selection Под