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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score4–2Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich44%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí28%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácichTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich44% selection probability
Projected score1–1SerpaVitoria Setubal
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej57% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
44% / 27% / 28%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dvojitá šanca1272.7%1.38
Viac 43% · Menej 57%Goals 2.5Menej57%1.75
Áno 48% · Nie 52%Oba tímy skórujúNie52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Serpa win44%2.27
Remíza27%3.70
Vitoria Setubal win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Serpa1.36

Domáci share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 43% · Menej 57%

Vitoria Setubal1.02

Hostia share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Serpa

0.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Vitoria Setubal

0.00pts / match
Odohrané0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Body0

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
SerpaVitoria Setubal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Serpa signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria Setubal signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Serpa výhra 44%,Remíza 27%,Vitoria Setubal výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Viac 2.5 43% · Current selection Menej