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LVA Lotyšsko - Virsliga · Zápas ·

FS Jelgava vs FK Auda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich29%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí44%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FS JelgavaFK Auda
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
29% / 28% / 44%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dvojitá šanca1272.5%1.38
Viac 47% · Menej 53%Goals 2.5Menej53%1.89
Áno 52% · Nie 48%Oba tímy skórujúÁno52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FS Jelgava win29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
FK Auda win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FS Jelgava1.14

Domáci share of expected goals 44.7%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 47% · Menej 53%

FK Auda1.41

Hostia share of expected goals 55.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FS Jelgava

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Výhra probability excluding draw
44%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.14
Expected goals
1.41
FS JelgavaFK Auda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FS Jelgava signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Auda signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FS Jelgava vs FK Auda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FS Jelgava výhra 29%,Remíza 28%,FK Auda výhra 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Viac 2.5 47% · Current selection Menej