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LVA Lettonia - Virsliga · Partita ·

FS Jelgava vs FK Auda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite44%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FS JelgavaFK Auda
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 28% / 44%Esito partitaVittoria ospite44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Doppia Chance1272.5%1.38
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FS Jelgava win29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
FK Auda win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FS Jelgava1.14

Casa share of expected goals 44.7%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

FK Auda1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 55.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FS Jelgava

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
44%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.14
Expected goals
1.41
FS JelgavaFK Auda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FS Jelgava signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Auda signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FS Jelgava vs FK Auda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FS Jelgava vinta 29%,Pareggio 28%,FK Auda vinta 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto