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ENG Anglicko - EFL Cup · Zápas ·

Cardiff vs Swindon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich68%
Remíza18%
Výhra hostí14%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácichTier B · 68% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich68% selection probability
Projected score2–1CardiffSwindon
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
68% / 18% / 14%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Swindon win (14.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X85.7%1.17
Viac 53% · Menej 47%Goals 2.5Viac53%1.89
Áno 53% · Nie 47%Oba tímy skórujúÁno53%1.89
2.75 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽiadny
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cardiff win68%1.471.3370.5%
Remíza18%5.565.5017%
Swindon win14%7.147.5012.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cardiff1.82

Domáci share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 53% · Menej 47%

Swindon0.93

Hostia share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Cardiff

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci won 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Swindon

0.00pts / match
Odohrané1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Body0

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Výhra probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.82
Expected goals
0.93
CardiffSwindon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cardiff signalDomáci won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swindon signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Cardiff vs Swindon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cardiff výhra 68%,Remíza 18%,Swindon výhra 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Viac 2.5 53% · Current selection Viac