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ENG England - EFL Cup · Spiel ·

Cardiff vs Swindon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg68%
Unentschieden18%
Auswärtssieg14%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 68% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg68% selection probability
Projected score2–1CardiffSwindon
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
68% / 18% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Swindon win (14.3%)Doppelte Chance1X85.7%1.17
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.75 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cardiff win68%1.471.3370.5%
Unentschieden18%5.565.5017%
Swindon win14%7.147.5012.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cardiff1.82

Heim share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Swindon0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cardiff

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Swindon

0.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.82
Expected goals
0.93
CardiffSwindon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cardiff signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swindon signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Cardiff vs Swindon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cardiff Gewinn 68%,Unentschieden 18%,Swindon Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über