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VEN Венесуэла - Кубок · Матч ·

Каракас vs Баркисимето

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев65%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей15%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 65% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев65% selection probability
Projected score2–1КаракасБаркисимето
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
65% / 20% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Баркисимето win (14.9%)Двойной шанс1X85.1%1.18
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin15.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каракас win65%1.541.2967%
Ничья20%5.004.5019.2%
Баркисимето win15%6.676.2513.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каракас1.84

Хозяева share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Баркисимето0.90

Гости share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Каракас

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Баркисимето

1.33pts / match
Сыграно3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.84
Expected goals
0.90
КаракасБаркисимето
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каракас signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Баркисимето signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Каракас vs Баркисимето FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каракас выигрыш 65%,Ничья 20%,Баркисимето выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше