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VEN Coppa del Venezuela · Partita ·

Caracas vs Barquisimeto

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa65%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite15%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 65% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa65% selection probability
Projected score2–1CaracasBarquisimeto
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
65% / 20% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barquisimeto win (14.9%)Doppia Chance1X85.1%1.18
Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%Goals 2.5Sopra52%1.92
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin15.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caracas win65%1.541.2967%
Pareggio20%5.004.5019.2%
Barquisimeto win15%6.676.2513.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caracas1.84

Casa share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%

Barquisimeto0.90

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Caracas

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Barquisimeto

1.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.84
Expected goals
0.90
CaracasBarquisimeto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caracas signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barquisimeto signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Caracas vs Barquisimeto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caracas vinta 65%,Pareggio 20%,Barquisimeto vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Sopra 2.5 52% · Current selection Sopra