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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Аргентина Мерло vs КА Итусайнго

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Аргентина МерлоКА Итусайнго
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 27% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes КА Итусайнго win (17.6%)Двойной шанс1X82.4%1.21
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Аргентина Мерло win56%1.79
Ничья27%3.70
КА Итусайнго win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аргентина Мерло1.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

КА Итусайнго0.66

Гости share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аргентина Мерло

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

КА Итусайнго

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
Аргентина МерлоКА Итусайнго
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аргентина Мерло signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КА Итусайнго signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Аргентина Мерло vs КА Итусайнго FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аргентина Мерло выигрыш 56%,Ничья 27%,КА Итусайнго выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше