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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Аржентино Мерло vs КА Итузаинго

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–1Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен27%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Аржентино МерлоКА Итузаинго
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 27% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes КА Итузаинго win (17.6%)Двоен шанс1X82.4%1.21
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Аржентино Мерло win56%1.79
Равен27%3.70
КА Итузаинго win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аржентино Мерло1.87

Домакин share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

КА Итузаинго0.66

Гост share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Аржентино Мерло

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

КА Итузаинго

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
Аржентино МерлоКА Итузаинго
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аржентино Мерло signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КА Итузаинго signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Аржентино Мерло vs КА Итузаинго FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аржентино Мерло печеливш 56%,Равен 27%,КА Итузаинго печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под