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INT Перу - Лига 2 · Матч ·

Сесар Вальехо vs ФК Пирата

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сесар ВальехоФК Пирата
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 26% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Пирата win (20.7%)Двойной шанс1X79.3%1.26
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapСесар Вальехо winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сесар Вальехо win53%1.891.6753.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
ФК Пирата win21%4.764.4020.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сесар Вальехо1.39

Хозяева share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

ФК Пирата0.89

Гости share of expected goals 39%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сесар Вальехо

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Пирата

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.39
Expected goals
0.89
Сесар ВальехоФК Пирата
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сесар Вальехо signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Пирата signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Сесар Вальехо vs ФК Пирата FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сесар Вальехо выигрыш 53%,Ничья 26%,ФК Пирата выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше