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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Матч ·

Виркия vs НИК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.45 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев61%
Ничья19%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев61% selection probability
Projected score2–1ВиркияНИК
Expected goals3.45Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
61% / 19% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.8%)Двойной шанс1281.2%1.23
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 58% · Нет 42%Обе забьютДа58%1.72
3.45 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapВиркия winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Виркия win61%1.641.5059.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
НИК win21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Виркия2.46

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals3.45Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

НИК0.99

Гости share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Нет 42%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Виркия

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

НИК

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.99
ВиркияНИК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Виркия signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02НИК signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Виркия vs НИК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Виркия выигрыш 61%,Ничья 19%,НИК выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше