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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Погонь-Сокул Любачув vs Moravia Morawica

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей21%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Погонь-Сокул ЛюбачувMoravia Morawica
Expected goals3.24Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 22% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moravia Morawica win (20.6%)Двойной шанс1X79.4%1.26
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 63% · Нет 37%Обе забьютДа63%1.59
3.24 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Погонь-Сокул Любачув win57%1.751.5358.6%
Ничья22%4.554.1021.9%
Moravia Morawica win21%4.764.6019.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Погонь-Сокул Любачув1.99

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.4%

Total expected goals3.24Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

Moravia Morawica1.25

Гости share of expected goals 38.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 63% · Нет 37%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Погонь-Сокул Любачув

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Moravia Morawica

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.25
Погонь-Сокул ЛюбачувMoravia Morawica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Погонь-Сокул Любачув signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moravia Morawica signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Погонь-Сокул Любачув vs Moravia Morawica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Погонь-Сокул Любачув выигрыш 57%,Ничья 22%,Moravia Morawica выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше