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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Moravia Morawica

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw22%
Away win21%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pogon-Sokol LubaczowMoravia Morawica
Expected goals3.24Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 22% / 21%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moravia Morawica win (20.6%)Double chance1X79.4%1.26
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win57%1.751.5358.6%
Draw22%4.554.1021.9%
Moravia Morawica win21%4.764.6019.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow1.99

Home share of expected goals 61.4%

Total expected goals3.24Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Moravia Morawica1.25

Away share of expected goals 38.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Moravia Morawica

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.25
Pogon-Sokol LubaczowMoravia Morawica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moravia Morawica signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Moravia Morawica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win 57%,Draw 22%,Moravia Morawica win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over