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AUS Австралия - Тасмания - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

ФК Гленорчи Найтс vs Лонсестон Юнайтед

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.52 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей41%
Baseline forecastПобеда гостейTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей41% selection probability
Projected score2–2ФК Гленорчи НайтсЛонсестон Юнайтед
Expected goals3.52Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 22% / 41%Исход матчаПобеда гостей41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)Двойной шанс1277.8%1.29
Больше 68% · Меньше 32%Goals 2.5Больше68%1.47
Да 69% · Нет 31%Обе забьютДа69%1.45
3.52 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
11.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Гленорчи Найтс win37%2.70
Ничья22%4.55
Лонсестон Юнайтед win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Гленорчи Найтс1.70

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals3.52Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 68% · Меньше 32%

Лонсестон Юнайтед1.82

Гости share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 69% · Нет 31%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Гленорчи Найтс

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Лонсестон Юнайтед

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.70
Expected goals
1.82
ФК Гленорчи НайтсЛонсестон Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Гленорчи Найтс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лонсестон Юнайтед signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ФК Гленорчи Найтс vs Лонсестон Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Гленорчи Найтс выигрыш 37%,Ничья 22%,Лонсестон Юнайтед выигрыш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.52 · ТБ 2.5 68% · Current selection Больше