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INT Bulgaria Second League · Final ·

Спартак Плевен vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Спартак ПлевенLokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 29% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (22.9%)Двойной шанс1X77.1%1.30
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.47 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Спартак Плевен win48%2.08
Ничья29%3.45
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спартак Плевен1.63

Хозяева share of expected goals 66%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.84

Гости share of expected goals 34%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Спартак Плевен

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
1
1.63
Expected goals
0.84
Спартак ПлевенLokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спартак Плевен signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Спартак Плевен vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спартак Плевен выигрыш 48%,Ничья 29%,Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше