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INT Bulgaria Second League · Final ·

Spartak Pleven vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–1Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite23%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Spartak PlevenLokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 29% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (22.9%)Doppia Chance1X77.1%1.30
Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%Goals 2.5Sotto55%1.82
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.47 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Spartak Pleven win48%2.08
Pareggio29%3.45
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartak Pleven1.63

Casa share of expected goals 66%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.84

Trasferta share of expected goals 34%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Spartak Pleven

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
1
1.63
Expected goals
0.84
Spartak PlevenLokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartak Pleven signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Spartak Pleven vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartak Pleven vinta 48%,Pareggio 29%,Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Sopra 2.5 45% · Current selection Sotto