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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Пеликан Лович

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей33%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mlawianka MlawaПеликан Лович
Expected goals3.21Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 24% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Двойной шанс1275.9%1.32
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.21 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
11.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mlawianka Mlawa win43%2.332.1042.6%
Ничья24%4.173.7024.2%
Пеликан Лович win33%3.032.7033.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mlawianka Mlawa1.73

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals3.21Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Пеликан Лович1.48

Гости share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Mlawianka Mlawa

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Пеликан Лович

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.73
Expected goals
1.48
Mlawianka MlawaПеликан Лович
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mlawianka Mlawa signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пеликан Лович signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Пеликан Лович FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mlawianka Mlawa выигрыш 43%,Ничья 24%,Пеликан Лович выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше