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POL Poland III Liga · Final ·

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Pelikan Lowicz

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win43%
Draw24%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mlawianka MlawaPelikan Lowicz
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 24% / 33%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Double chance1275.9%1.32
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mlawianka Mlawa win43%2.332.1042.6%
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%
Pelikan Lowicz win33%3.032.7033.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mlawianka Mlawa1.73

Home share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Pelikan Lowicz1.48

Away share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mlawianka Mlawa

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pelikan Lowicz

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.73
Expected goals
1.48
Mlawianka MlawaPelikan Lowicz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mlawianka Mlawa signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pelikan Lowicz signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Pelikan Lowicz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mlawianka Mlawa win 43%,Draw 24%,Pelikan Lowicz win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over