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ENG Англия - Кубок Футбольной лиги · Матч ·

Джиллингем vs Лутон

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.70 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев22%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей53%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей53% selection probability
Projected score1–2ДжиллингемЛутон
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
22% / 25% / 53%Исход матчаПобеда гостей53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Джиллингем win (22%)Двойной шансX278%1.28
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Джиллингем win22%4.554.5020.6%
Ничья25%4.003.7524.8%
Лутон win53%1.891.7054.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Джиллингем1.09

Хозяева share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Лутон1.61

Гости share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Джиллингем

1.00pts / match
Сыграно1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Баллы1

SignalХозяева unbeaten 1/1

Гости-context · form sequence

Лутон

1.00pts / match
Сыграно3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Баллы3

SignalГости failed to score: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
53%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.09
Expected goals
1.61
ДжиллингемЛутон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Джиллингем signalХозяева unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лутон signalГости failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Джиллингем vs Лутон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Джиллингем выигрыш 22%,Ничья 25%,Лутон выигрыш 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше