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ENG Англия - Купа на Лигата · Мач ·

Джилингам vs Лутън

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.71 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина22%
Равен25%
Победа за госта53%
Market-based forecastПобеда за гостаTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта53% selection probability
Projected score1–2ДжилингамЛутън
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
22% / 25% / 53%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Джилингам win (22%)Двоен шансX278%1.28
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 55% · Не 45%И двата отбора да отбележатДа55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Джилингам win22%4.554.5020.6%
Равен25%4.003.7524.8%
Лутън win53%1.891.7054.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Джилингам1.09

Домакин share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Лутън1.62

Гост share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 55% · Не 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Джилингам

1.00pts / match
Изиграни1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Точки1

SignalДомакин unbeaten 1/1

Гост-context · form sequence

Лутън

1.00pts / match
Изиграни3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Точки3

SignalГост failed to score: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
53%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.09
Expected goals
1.62
ДжилингамЛутън
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Джилингам signalДомакин unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лутън signalГост failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Джилингам vs Лутън FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Джилингам печеливш 22%,Равен 25%,Лутън печеливш 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над