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CHN China Division 2 · Матч ·

Шэньчжэнь 2028 vs Ганьчжоу Жуйши

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев70%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей10%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев70% selection probability
Projected score1–1Шэньчжэнь 2028Ганьчжоу Жуйши
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
70% / 20% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ганьчжоу Жуйши win (9.9%)Двойной шанс1X90.1%1.11
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapШэньчжэнь 2028 winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Шэньчжэнь 2028 win70%1.431.2572%-2.0 pp
Ничья20%5.004.7519%+1.0 pp
Ганьчжоу Жуйши win10%10.0010.009%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Шэньчжэнь 20281.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Ганьчжоу Жуйши1.00

Гости share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Шэньчжэнь 2028

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ганьчжоу Жуйши

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.49
Expected goals
1.00
Шэньчжэнь 2028Ганьчжоу Жуйши
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Шэньчжэнь 2028 signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ганьчжоу Жуйши signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Шэньчжэнь 2028 vs Ганьчжоу Жуйши FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Шэньчжэнь 2028 выигрыш 70%,Ничья 20%,Ганьчжоу Жуйши выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше