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EUR Europe Friendlies · Матч ·

Эльче vs Тулуза

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей32%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЭльчеТулуза
Expected goals3.28Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 23% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Двойной шанс1277.2%1.30
Больше 64% · Меньше 36%Goals 2.5Больше64%1.56
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Эльче win45%2.22
Ничья23%4.35
Тулуза win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эльче1.80

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.28Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 64% · Меньше 36%

Тулуза1.48

Гости share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эльче

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Тулуза

2.33pts / match
Сыграно3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.48
ЭльчеТулуза
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эльче signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тулуза signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Эльче vs Тулуза FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эльче выигрыш 45%,Ничья 23%,Тулуза выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · ТБ 2.5 64% · Current selection Больше